nailed it?

We track macro analysts' predictions and score them against reality. The record is public.

Currently in private beta · Limited seats

How it works

From YouTube to verdict
in minutes.

Every interview, automatically ingested and scored.

Watch

We monitor analyst channels continuously. When a new interview drops, it's queued automatically — no manual curation.

Extract

Every prediction is identified, timestamped, and mapped to one of 47 macro themes — automatically, using AI.

Score

Reality decides. Each call is verified against live market data. No opinion. No spin. The record doesn't lie.

Under the hood

Track record becomes signal.

Every analyst call, scored against reality. That history becomes your forward confidence — a number you can actually act on.

Video Queue
Gold target and dollar debasement Processing now V-4821
Rate cuts and recession path Queued V-4822
Oil shock escalation scenarios Queued V-4823
Liquidity cycle and Bitcoin beta Queued V-4824
Credit spreads and policy lag Queued V-4825
Live ingest queue 12,847 calls scored
Intelligence Platform
Live model
SE
Sentinel
Continuous watch across analyst channels
CH
Chronicle
Faithful spoken-word capture
PR
Prism
Isolates forward calls from commentary
VD
Verdict
Resolves outcomes against market reality
Analyst accuracy profile · live recalculation
Monetary Policy 79%
Commodities 85%
Inflation 71%
Currency & FX 63%
Credit & Rates 77%
Confidence Signal™
Elena Park
New prediction captured
CALL 4821

"Bitcoin will retest new highs before liquidity tightens."

Signal Engine
Running

Topic scoreboards

The best forecaster changes with the question.

Bitcoin, war risk, inflation, rates, and metals each create a different ranking. WhoNailedIt scores people inside the topic they actually called.

Bitcoin scoreboard

Bitcoin calls reward a different specialist.

Ranking only the predictions tied to Bitcoin price, adoption, liquidity, and cycle timing.

124 calls scored
Window: 2024-2026 Score weighs outcome, conviction, timing, and specificity.

The leaderboard

The record is public.

Every call, timestamped. Every miss, counted.

Analyst accuracy leaderboard
# Analyst Predictions Accuracy Conviction Score™
1 Elena Park 156 82% 94.2
2 Marcus Vale 67 78% 88.7
3 Clara Sato 203 71% 79.4
4 Rowan Price 98 67% 73.1
5 Victor Hale 312 31% 28.3
View the full leaderboard

The Intelligence Platform

Built for accuracy
at scale.

Five purpose-built engines run continuously — watching, transcribing, extracting, verifying, and scoring — without human intervention.

Signal Monitor
Watches 50+ analyst channels around the clock. No interview slips through.
Python · YouTube API
Ingestion Engine
Downloads and transcribes audio at scale, with precise speaker timing.
yt-dlp · Whisper
Extraction Engine
Identifies every prediction in unstructured speech. 47 macro themes.
Claude · Structured output
Verification Engine
Cross-references calls against live market data. No human judgment required.
Yahoo Finance · Claude
Conviction Score™
Proprietary index weighing confidence, time horizon, and verified outcome.
PostgreSQL · Next.js

Pricing

Pricing for people who check the record.

Built for investors, researchers, and teams who want receipts before they trust another market call.

Starter keeps the door open. Pro is the core product. Team is for shared research workflows.

Starter

A focused view for following the public record.

$19 / month
$190 / year Save $38
  • ✓Recent analyst and topic scoreboards
  • ✓Limited prediction archive
  • ✓Basic source links and timestamps
  • ✓Email support
Join Waitlist
Founding

Pro

Full scoring, history, and topic-specific leaderboards.

$39 / month
$399 / year Save $69
  • ✓Full analyst and topic archive
  • ✓Bitcoin, rates, gold, macro, and event boards
  • ✓Source clips, timestamps, and score history
  • ✓Watchlists and alerts as they launch
Join Waitlist

Team

Shared research workflow for desks, publishers, and funds.

$99 / month
$990 / year Save $198
  • ✓3 seats included
  • ✓Shared watchlists and saved boards
  • ✓CSV exports and research handoff tools
  • ✓Priority support at [email protected]
Join Waitlist

Early access

Get early access.

We'll reach out when a spot opens.

You're on the list — we'll be in touch.

No spam. Invite-only. WhoNailedIt is currently in private beta. Questions? [email protected]